The Europe heat pump market is projected to exhibit a CAGR of around 12.5% during the forecast period. In 2021, around 2.5 million heat pumps were sold in Europe, approximately 580,000 more than in 2020. Over the past decade, the European market for heat pumps has been growing at a steady pace. The key driver for the market growth has been the introduction of strengthened legislation governing new builds in many European countries, ranging from general regulations in France such as RT2012, which sets the new minimum standard of thermal insulation of dwellings, to a ban on combustion boilers in the Netherlands.
Alongside this, there have been a number of initiatives in recent years, particularly in France, Germany, and Italy, to promote heat pumps in the replacement market, accompanied by government incentives at both national and local levels. At the same time, technology has developed to help make heat pumps an attractive option.
- For instance, the arrival to the market of optimized high-temperature heat pumps enables the replacement of existing combustion boilers without the need to update or modify existing radiators.
Moreover, there has been an increase in the installation of heat pumps in Europe which further gives a boost to the market growth.
Up to 10 kW is expected to be the largest contributor to the heat pump market
Based on rated capacity, the heat pump market is dominated by up to 10 kW. The segmental growth is attributed to the major advantages offered by these pumps as well as their suitability for single-family residential houses. Further, on the basis of end user, the residential segment is estimated to hold a prominent share of the Europe heat pump market. The segmental growth is attributed to supportive government initiatives to enhance energy efficiency in the residential sector. In addition, the resumption of work and production activities also supported the heat pump market growth.
Western Europe to dominate the Europe heat pump market
Geographically, Western Europe dominates the Europe heat pump market owing to the high sales of heat pumps in the region. Government policies to decarbonize the building and construction sector, advancements in heat pump technology, and the Covid pandemic has helped the residential sales of heat pumps.
According to European Heat Pump Association, 87% of the European market volume was sold in only ten countries. The five biggest European heat pump markets in 2020 were France (394,129 units sold; −0.7% growth vs. 2020), Italy (232,834; +12.2%), Germany (140,390; +37.2%), Spain (127,856; −0.2%), and Sweden (107,723; +4.4%). The biggest absolute gains were achieved in Germany (38,040), Italy (25,324), Poland (18,504), the Netherlands (13,475), and Denmark (5,117).
Market Structure and Competitive Landscape
The presence of various manufacturers and suppliers in the market makes the Europe heat pump market fragmented in nature. Some of the prominent players operating in Europe heat pumps market include Aermec S.p.A., Viessmann Group, Vaillant Group, WOLF – a company of the Centrotec SE, Bosch, Carrier, Daikin, Denso, Ochsner, Vivreco, Trane, NIBE Industries AB, and others. These players invested in the Europe heat pump market in order to help the market to grow significantly during the forecast period. Some of the attempts made by these players are mergers and acquisitions.
- In July 2022, Daikin Europe N.V. announced an investment of 300 million euros to establish a new factory in ?ód?, Poland, which will be Daikin’s first production base in the country. The new factory will manufacture residential heat pump units and start operations in July 2024, in addition to the existing European production bases in Belgium, the Czech Republic, and Germany.
- In August 2020, NIBE Industries AB has signed an agreement to acquire 100% of the shares in the German heat pump manufacturer Waterkotte Gmbh.
Key Market Segmentation
RationalStat has segmented the Europe heat pump market on the basis of type, rated capacity, end user, and region.
- By Type
- Air/Water
- Air/air
- Ground Source (Geothermal)
- Others (Hybrid etc.)
- By Rated Capacity
- Up to 10 kW
- 10-20 kW
- 20-30 kW
- 30-100 kW
- 100 – 500 kW
- More than 500 kW
- By End User
- Residential
- Non-Residential
- By Region
- Western Europe
- Germany
- UK
- France
- Spain
- Italy
- Benelux
- Nordic
- Rest of Western Europe
- Eastern Europe
- Russia
- Poland
- Rest of Eastern Europe
- Western Europe
Research Methodology
RationalStat has developed a state-of-the-art research methodology to crunch numbers and provide the best possible real-time insights to clients for the Europe heat pump market. We combine a varied range of industry experience, data analytics, and experts’ viewpoint to create a research methodology for market sizing and forecasting.
RationalStat combines a mix of secondary sources as well as primary research to assess the market size and develop a forecast. Key steps involved in accurately deriving the market numbers are:
- Defining the problem by understanding the type of market and data required by the client.
- Data gathering and collection through relevant paid databases, publicly available sources, company reports, annual reports, surveys, and interviews.
- Formulating a hypothesis to create market numbers, forecasts, influencing factors, and their relevance.
- Evaluating and analyzing the data by referring to data sources utilized and leveraged.
- Validating, interpreting, and finalizing the data by combining the details gathered from primary and secondary sources with the help of experienced analysts.
Secondary Sources
- Annual reports, company filings, investor presentations, product catalogs, and company documents
- Industry and market-related documents available in the public domain
- Paid databases including Bloomberg, Factiva, S&P Capital IQ, FactSet, Refinitiv Eikon, ICIS, EUWID, and Thomson Reuters, among others
- Whitepapers, research papers, and industry blogs.
Why Buy this Report?
The report is intended for heat pump manufacturers, third-party distributors & dealers, raw material suppliers, government organizations, educational organizations, regulatory agencies, and market research firms, among others. The report provides an in-depth analysis of market size, consumption patterns, ongoing market trends and challenges, and future market opportunities. The report will serve as a source for a 360-degree analysis of the market thoroughly delivering insights to clients to find the right answers to their business questions.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
The Europe Heat Pump market is expected to grow at a CAGR of around 12.5% during the forecast period 2022-2028.
Western Europe is dominating the Europe Heat Pump market in 2021.
The Europe Heat Pump market is estimated at around US$ 14.1 billion in 2021.
Regional governments in Europe are encouraging the adoption of renewable energy systems for use in heating and cooling operations .
Major companies operating in the Europe Heat Pump market include Aermec S.p.A., Viessmann Group, Vaillant Group, WOLF – a company of the Centrotec SE, Bosch, Carrier, Daikin, Denso, Ochsner, Vivreco, Trane, NIBE Industries AB, and others.